Proceedings of the International scientific and practical conference ―New York Global Science Conference 2026‖ (May 18-20, 2026) / Publisher website: www.naukainfo.com. – New York, USA, 2026. - 322 p.

12 Table 1. Analysis of Scenarios for the Innovative Development of Enterprises for the regions of Ukraine Description Risks Advantages Approximate figures Optimistic scenario The war will end within a year, and the economy will begin to recover rapidly. International investment is on the rise, which is driving innovation Possible delays in infrastructure reconstruction, dependence on the political situation and international aid Boosting innovation, rapid economic recovery, focus on foreign markets GDP is growing by 5– 7% annually, with investments of up to $10 billion per year Pessimistic scenario Military operations have been ongoing for a long time, investment activity is low, and businesses are being forced to cut back on production Widespread bankruptcies, a decline in innovation, the exodus of skilled workers abroad, and a shortage of resources A decline in activity, but companies may find new ways of operating amid thecrisis GDP is falling by 10– 15% annually, with investments of up to $1– 2 billion per year A realistic scenario The war has been going on for some time, but the situation has stabilized at the level of regional conflicts. A gradual economic recovery with some investment in new technologies Slow economic recovery, uneven infrastructure restoration, and the risk of a resumption of active hostilities. A shortage of funds for infrastructure restoration Companies are adapting, adopting digital technologies, and seeking new markets and growth strategies GDP is growing by 2– 3% annually, with investments of up to $5 billion per year Source: based on [3] Thus, under martial law in Ukraine, predictive models of corporate innovation take on particular significance as a tool for ensuring business resilience and adaptability. Current challenges related to security risks and economic instability are prompting businesses to seek new ways to implement innovations that allow them not only to remain viable but also to gain additional competitive advantages. Forecasting,